⏺ #РЫНОЧНЫЕМЮСЛИ 11.09.2025

Ритейл в панике: все ждут BTC <$100k и ETH <$3.5k Друзья, данные показывают забавную картину – розничные инвесторы подверглись страху и массово настроены на падение, социальные сети заполонили хештеги #selling и #bearish. Трейдеры уверены: впереди коррекция, и нужно готовиться к худшему. Знаете, что меня в этом смущает? Когда ВСЕ ждут падения – оно почему-то происходит крайне редко. 🏦 Что в это время делают институционалы? Пока ритейл продает со страха, смотрим на движения крупных игроков: ⏺ BlackRock за день добавил 1,521 BTC ($173M) + 10,285 ETH ($45M) ⏺ Metaplanet докупил 134 BTC ($15M) по цене $112,149 ⏺ ETF-фонды(ARK, Bitwise, Fidelity) в сумме влили 524 BTC ($60M) за день 📉 Сентябрь – исторически слабый месяц Статистика показывает, что за период 2013-2024 сентябрь показывает среднюю доходность -4.89%, что делает его одним из худших месяцев года. Многие это знают и заранее настраиваются на коррекцию. Но есть нюанс: после сентябрьского спада обычно следует восстановление в Q4, и повышение средней доходности BTC. 🇺🇸 Скрытый, но возможно решающий фактор 18 сентября ФРС и Пауэлл огласит вердикт по ставкам. Рынки почти уверены (82% вероятность), что ставку снизят на четверть процента. Знаете, что обычно происходит после таких решений? Деньги начинают искать доходность и часто находят ее в крипте, что означит огромной приток ликвидности в рынок. А если это случится на фоне текущей розничной паники – может серьезно развернуть ситуацию. ⏺ Ритейл – это когорта, которая больше всего подвержена панике и при этом меньше всего анализирует реальные данные. Пока они продают со страха, институциональные игроки спокойно скупают активы, имея доступ к качественной аналитике и долгосрочному видению. Но мы живем в эпоху, когда такие инструменты доступны каждому. Поэтому обязательно изучайте движения крупных игроков, потоки капитала, исторический контекст и макроэкономические факторы, чтобы принимать решения на основе фактов, а не эмоций.

In the bullish scenario, the price could reach almost $3 million, and in the bearish scenario, around $88,000. The key drivers of growth are institutional demand and the fixed supply of BTC, which is unable to satisfy growing investor interest. 📈Crypto_whales

На графике #ETH отчётливо видно, что за сутки чистый объём тейкеров рухнул на минус $418,8 млн. Это значит, что за один день продавцы сбросили более 115 тысяч эфира, чем покупатели были готовы подобрать по рынку. Такая динамика часто сигнализирует: - О панической продаже (когда уже всё равно, по какой цене выходить); - Или о системной фиксации прибыли крупными игроками, которые не оставляют ликвидности под дальнейший рост. Исторически периоды с доминирующим красным сегментом по Net Taker Volume сопровождаются: - либо локальным дном на фоне капитуляции, - либо более глубоким снижением, если спрос не активизируется. Так что в ближайшие дни рынок покажет - это была финальная волна слива, либо только первая серия медвежьего сериала. Будьте внимательны с рисками. Удачи на рынке! English 🇺🇸 ETH - mass capitulation or smart unloading? The #ETH chart clearly shows that the net volume of takers plummeted by $418.8 million in one day. This means that in a single day, sellers dumped more than 115,000 ether than buyers were willing to pick up on the market. Such dynamics often signal: - panic selling (when it doesn't matter what price you exit at); - or systematic profit-taking by large players who are not leaving liquidity for further growth. Historically, periods with a dominant red segment in Net Taker Volume are accompanied by: - either a local bottom amid capitulation, - or a deeper decline if demand does not pick up. So, in the coming days, the market will show whether this was the final wave of selling or just the first episode of a bearish series. Be careful with risks. Good luck on the market! ⭐️ Crypto Chat | Exchange | ADS

One of the most common chart patterns is the triangle, formed by converging trend lines. There are three main types of triangles: 🔴Ascending Triangle (Bullish pattern) 🔴Descending Triangle (Bearish pattern) 🔴Symmetrical Triangle (Reversal pattern) How to Read Crypto Chart Patterns for Trading? 🔖Ascending and Descending Triangles are continuation patterns, meaning they occur in the middle of a trend and signal that the trend will continue. Symmetrical Triangles are reversal patterns, often appearing at the end of a trend, suggesting that a price reversal may be on the horizon. 🔗Click here to register 👉 https://olymp.gl/BuOqg ⚡️ @olymptradersignal

We sold three times during the US session, first at 3338, then 3334, and lastly 3330, all in calculated anticipation of the fall. The market painted a bearish flag on the LTF, and the M5 double top wasn’t just a pattern, it came with heavy selling volume. That was our sign. Then came the breakout of the previous low, creating a strong SBR selling zone on M15 and M5. Each retest? Rejected with force. This is why the chart was bleeding, not by accident, but by design. Beneath it all sat the final pool of liquidity between 3324–3320, drawing price in like gravity. We didn’t chase the fall. We caught it 🩸 VIP 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

Bitcoin dominance is about to print its first 3W MACD bearish cross since Jan 2020. 5 years ago... What happened last time? 🔹BTC.D collapsed 🔹A massive altseason ignited 🔹It lasted ~105 days before finding support at the green trendline Fast forward to now: 🔹Structure is the same 🔹MACD is about to cross Altcoin market caps (TOTAL2, TOTAL3) just had golden crosses. This is textbook capital rotation. 105 days from now would take us into october. If history repeats, the next 3 months will be explosive for alts. 💥

Silence spells bearish — Audio Tokens break it 🎵 Catch your wave on GasPump ⛽️

Наконец-то это происходит, индикатор MACD вот-вот пересечет индикатор SIGNAL сверху донизу. Это один из самых сильных долгосрочных медвежьих сигналов из существующих. До этого такое случалось всего два раза на $BTC.D: - Впервые это произошло еще в 2017 году, до того, как доминирование доллара BTC упало с 95% до 35% (-65%) в течение года. - Позже это произошло в 2021 году, когда BTC.D снизился с 75% до 38% (-47%) за год. То же самое вот-вот произойдет в 2025 году! Как только кросс будет подтвержден, мы можем ожидать снижения с 60% как минимум до 40%, что обеспечит нам сезон альткоинов (-12), который продлится не несколько недель, а как минимум пару месяцев!

It is finally happening, MACD is about to cross SIGNAL indicator from top to bottom. This is one of the strongest long-term bearish signal existing. It has happened only two times on -BTC.D before: - First it happened back in 2017 before the Dominance of -BTC crashed from 95% to 35% (-65%) within a year. - Later it happened in 2021 when BTC.D dumped from 75% to 38% (-47%) in a year. 👉 The same is about to happen now in 2025! Once the cross is confirmed, we may expect a dump from 60% to at least 40%, which will grant us a GREAT Altcoin Season that will last not a few weeks, but at least a couple of months!

📊 24 July 2025 Gold continues to move in a downtrend since yesterday, signaling a bearish sentiment in the market. For today, the focus remains on selling opportunities, especially if price pulls back toward resistance or previous breakout zones. The buy entries can still be considered at fresh support levels, particularly with today’s Luminous Daily Roadmap expected to bring high volatility during the London and US sessions. On the buy side, the key support areas to monitor lie around 3366, 3350, and 3334, aligning with multiple timeframe confluences. For sell opportunities, potential resistance levels around 3392, 3413, and 3431 will be critical zones to watch for price rejection or reversal signals. ❌ NO CONFIRMATION ❌ NO ZONE ❌ NO ENTRY 📈 R - Resistance 📉 S - Support 🕯 RBS - Resistance Become Support (Swap Zone) 🛍 SBR - Support Become Resistance (Swap Zone) ⏱️ Time Frame - Daily, Hour 4, Hour 1 Traders are advised to stay patient, follow price action closely, and manage risk carefully while waiting for confirmation before entering any trades.

• Bitcoin dominance is moving as expected. After breaking out of the trendline, it significantly dropped and is currently nearing the demand zone of 60-61%. • We may see some short reversal from this zone, but it shouldn't last long as dominance is in bearish territory. Overall, our expectation remains the same towards lower levels.

Trump Fighting hard for your bags. who tf was bearish on this guy on few dips lol. We enter the supercycle here.

They care about who is behind it and how much they willing to give it with them joining the trenches. They care about if they gonna be accepting communities, spreading love, Pump.fun had it's time, now it's $BONK guys( and i mean all bonk team, not just bonk guy, if you all follow them as well) They care about who's pushing the ecosystem and who gonna take their coins higher to next level, ofc memecoins now aren't just shit coins which no one cares off, there are teams hustling day and night, getting real world connnections, tradefi guys, MM ,CEX's and establishing them into long term memes which gonna stay for several runs onboarding next gen crypto users, these coins need support of eco founders. There was a time when Vitalik openly started killing coins, selling bags sent to him, calling meme coins scams, while Raj , Toly , SOL foundation and all SOL eco single handedly pushed memes bringing the biggest meme bull run in crypto while sending ETH memes to lowest ever. Not bearish on PF , alon surely might be cooking a plan(unless the $PUMP ICO was an exit strategy lol) and every one is welcome, competition is bullish and very much needed, if pf didn't get lazy or would have shown the path , bonk fun or jup or moonshot or several others wouldn't even try. Study the market/founders/ecosystem/volume/narratives and next meme winners will be infront of you, catch the one's which are already strong, get entries in reds, and look for betas/alphas where there is a community to back and founders to join them with love.

On June 18, the Fed held rates steady, giving no signal of easing to the markets. The QT (liquidity tightening) program also continues. The statement was neutral, but the tone is getting tougher: Powell made it clear that rates won’t be cut “at Trump’s request.” 💬 Political backdrop: Trump lashed out at the Fed chair again, calling him a “drag” and “dumb,” demanding an urgent rate cut and claiming he’d do a better job himself. What did Powell say? ⦁ The rate stays, ⦁ No rush to cut, ⦁ Waiting for more confidence that inflation is really falling, ⦁ New risk factor — tariffs that could push prices up. 🔍 What does the Fed actually look at when making decisions? ⦁ Inflation (CPI and Core CPI) ⦁ Labor market (unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls) ⦁ Economic growth (GDP) ⦁ Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE) — the main inflation gauge Right now, all these indicators are borderline — the numbers don’t give a clear reason for either easing or tightening. 📈 Updated Fed forecasts: ⦁ GDP: 1.4% (lowered) ⦁ Inflation: 3% (up) ⦁ Unemployment: 4.5% (up) ⦁ Still projecting 2 rate cuts in 2025, but Powell stressed: “this is just a scenario, not a promise.” 📌 What this means for traders: 3 scenarios 1. Base (stable): Fed waits for data → rate unchanged until fall → markets move sideways, volatility on data releases. 2. Bearish: Inflation stays high or rises → Fed stays hawkish longer → pressure on stocks and crypto, dollar and Treasuries rise. 3. Bullish (unlikely): Inflation drops sharply, economy slows → Fed cuts rates → markets rally, including crypto. There’s only one Fed meeting left before the end of summer — August is traditionally a break. This means any statements from Fed officials in the coming month will be extra significant: even a slight shift in tone could either push markets higher or crush the current bullish mood. The Fed makes decisions based on data, not emotions. Traders should do the same — don’t guess, calculate your options. Be ready for multiple scenarios and keep an eye on what and how Fed officials are saying.

This move looks like a bull trap, and often after such setups, price drops further out of the range. We’ve officially lost the levels that bulls could rely on — this is serious. 🔍 For now, I’m staying on the sidelines — no trade entry yet. I want to see a clear reaction either down or up before I commit capital. Smart money waits for direction, and so do I. 📍Local liquidity sits around 106,200. 💰Funding is positive, meaning longs are overexposed right now. 💼 By the way… Yesterday’s signals? 🔥 Absolute precision. My people made money. Period. If you’re not following me yet — you’re missing the edge. 🎯 Soon I’ll drop insider info & a fresh signal — stay sharp and stay close. 📉 We’r...

#Ethereum is now trading around $2500. #Ethereum is forming an uptrend channel on the 4hr time frame. The possible scenario is that an uptrend channel is a bearish pattern, so according to the pattern, we may see short-term bearish momentum in Ethereum after a breakdown. Keep an eye on it.

Since yesterday gold still continues bearish momentum. Let's wait for any confirmation. ⚜️ SUPPORT FRESH BO ⚜️ TREND BREAKOUT ⚜️ H1 BASE BUY My target gold can continue bearish a little more before get into buy zone. That buy zone is on lowest but still need monitor the market before we jump into the first setup

Let’s break down the current BTC setup: 📈 The market is pushing upward through a tight sideways range. We’re now approaching the 108,000–108,600 resistance zone — and from here, I expect a short-term pullback to close the gap around 103,600, before we make a move toward 112,000. ⚠️ Liquidity is stacked below — and while funding remains mostly negative (which is unusual during an uptrend), this could build up a much stronger trap if we go higher without a correction. On the hourly timeframe, we can already see bearish divergence forming — it’s going to be very interesting to see how this plays out 👀 Now, to the real alpha. ✅ Yesterday’s signals hit hard — clean profits across the board. I don’t chase the market. I lead it. 📢 Follow me and only me if you want to be ahead...

Target untuk long position ialah bearish . Kalau tengok di HIGHER TIMEFRAME Still lagi Bearish Momentum . 3332-3335 ialah tempat untuk monitor Sell guys . Untuj target rejection yang selamat untuk masuk buy ialah 2 Tempat Kat Bawah . Nak Ride The Trend boleh tapi kena tunggu Confirmation Yang Strong