Получено подтверждение — мы в зоне ИИ-сингулярности

Только что вышел шокирующий отчет, переворачивающий наше понимание скорости развития ИИ Вспомните мир до ChatGPT. Кажется, это было целую вечность назад. Именно тогда, летом 2022 года, лучшие умы планеты — «суперпрогнозисты» и ведущие отраслевые эксперты — собрались на турнир, чтобы предсказать будущее на ближайшие 2-3 года. Они делали ставки на прогнозы экзистенциальных рисков для человечества. И уже тогда было очевидно, что один из таких рисков – бурный прогресс в области ИИ. И вот сегодня вышел новый отчет, анализирующий точность тех прогнозов (Assessing Near-Term Accuracy in the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament). И стало ясно, - все прогнозы провалились. Катастрофически. Масштаб недооценки поражает Математические способности (MATH Dataset): • ИИ достиг 87,8% в апреле 2024 • Эксперты давали вероятности этого всего 21% • Суперпрогнозисты — 9% Общие знания (MMLU): • ИИ набрал 88,7% к середине 2024 • Эксперты оценивали это в 25% • Суперпрогнозисты - давали 7% Математическая олимпиада: • ИИ получил золото в июле 2025 • Эксперты думали это случится после 2030 • Суперпрогнозисты — после 2035 • Вероятность, что это случится в 2025, была, по их мнению - 8,6% и 2,3% Вычислительная мощность: • Суперпрогнозисты недооценили в 5 РАЗ Что это означает Турнир закончился ДО выхода ChatGPT в ноябре 2022. Именно тогда началось безумие. Мы вошли в фазу технологической сингулярности: скорость прогресса стала настолько высокой, что любые прогнозы теряют смысл из-за систематических недооценок. Малоприятный вывод Если лучшие эксперты мира недооценивают скорость развития ИИ в 5-10 раз, то: текущие прогнозы достижения человеческого уровня к 2030 году (типа «мягкой сингулярности Сэма Альтмана»), могут осуществиться уже в 2026 Тогда вопрос на на много триллионов $ Готовы ли мы к тому, что ИИ человеческого уровня появится не через 5 лет, а через год? Ведь если даже лучшие эксперты не могут предсказать прогресс на 2 года вперёд, может быть, пора признать, что никто больше не контролируем скорость происходящего? Наше авто как будто несется на немыслимой скорости в густом тумане, и педаль акселератора вжата в пол. А этот отчет — первое реальное доказательство того, что все мы внутри этого авто. #Сингулярность #Техносингулярность

🕵️‍♂️ Сводка важных отчетностей, которые могут повлиять на рынок на протяжении недели: Вторник (19.08) 🟡США - Housing Starts (июль) - 15:30 Среда (20.08) 🟡Минутки с прошлого заседания FOMC - 21:00 Четверг (21.08) 🟡США - Initial Jobless Claims - 15:30 🟡США - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (авг) - 15:30 🟡США - Existing Home Sales (июль) - 17:00 🟡США - индекс опережающих экономических индикаторов (июль) - 17:00

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖   What moves crypto prices? Bitcoin, news and order books 1. What makes technical analysis somewhat predictable? ✅ Thousands of traders act on the same chart patterns 2. What role does psychology play in crypto prices? ✅ Emotions like fear and FOMO drive buying and selling decisions 3. Why do you see different Bitcoin prices on different exchanges? ✅ Each exchange has its own trading activity and order book 4. What happens when some cryptocurrencies burn tokens? ✅ Supply shrinks, which can push prices up 5. What do price trackers like CoinMarketCap show? ✅ An average of prices from multiple exchanges 6. When does the crypto market trade? ✅ 24 hours a day, 7 days a week 7. What is an order book? ✅ Where buyers list what they’ll pay and sellers list what they want 8. What determines crypto prices at their core? ✅ Supply and demand 9. What is liquidity in crypto trading? ✅ How easily you can buy or sell without affecting the price much 10. What happened when Tesla announced it would accept Bitcoin? ✅ The price usually jumped 11. Which exchange was mentioned alongside Binance and Coinbase in the video? ✅ Kraken 12. How many Bitcoin will ever exist? ✅ 21 million ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 💬Chat ❕ 📹AllCode❕

Идиотизм как он есть

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖   What happens after the last Bitcoin is mined? Final block explained 1. What's the main reward miners receive today? ✅ New Bitcoins and transaction fees 2. When will the last Bitcoin be mined? ✅ Around the year 2140 3. How many Bitcoins will ever exist in total? ✅ 21 million 4. What keeps the Bitcoin network secure after all coins are mined? ✅ Transaction fees paid to miners 5. What happens after the last Bitcoin is mined? ✅ Miners will only earn from transaction fees 6. What changes for miners after the final Bitcoin in mined? ✅ They earn only through fees 7. Why is Bitcoin considered digitally scarce? ✅ Its supply is limited and coded 8. What ensures that Bitcoin supply stops increasing? ✅ It's written into the code 9. What could happen if demand stays high while Bitcoin supply is fixed? ✅ Price could rise significantly 10. What is a Bitcoin halving? ✅ A process that cuts block rewards in half 11. How often do Bitcoin halvings occur? ✅ Every four years 12. Why won't reaching the Bitcoin cap be a shock to the system? ✅ The network has been preparing for it through halvings ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 💬Chat ❕ 📹AllCode❕

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ Top 3 features to try on CEX. IO today 1. What is the main purpose of this video? ✅ To show three strategies for using CEX. IO this week 2. What platform does the video recommend for managing crypto on the go? ✅ The CEX. IO mobile app 3. What does the video say about the mobile app's security? ✅ It has top-tier protection 4. According to the video, buying crypto with your card takes how long? ✅ A few minutes 5. What does CEX. IO Earn help you do with existing crypto? ✅ Generate passive rewards automatically 6. The video says CEX. IO Earn works without requiring what from users? ✅ Spending hours glued to the screen 7. What should users check regarding product availability? ✅ Regional availability on CEX. IO 8. Which regions are mentioned as having potential product restrictions? ✅ US, EEA, and UK 9. The video suggests trying the features in what way? ✅ One by one or mixed up for full experience 10. What is the first strategy mentioned in the video? ✅ Direct card purchases 11. How many strategies does the video recommend trying? ✅ Three 12. According to the video, the mobile app allows you to do all of these except what? ✅ Mine new cryptocurrency ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 💬Chat ❕ 📹AllCode❕

Hey, I'm $KERMIT, the most famous frog to have ever existed. Pepe stole my fame, and I'm reclaiming it by taking over the Eth blockchain! Only a frog can flip a frog. Big Team Behind this one, they pushed their last project to 80M Mcap I've Confirmed and they have 2-3 Top Tier Cex Listings Confirmed! Launches Sunday at 7PM UTC. Telegram: t.me/KermitEthereum Website: kermittoken.xyz Twitter: x.com/KermitEther

What is liquid staking? Are audits a scam, or do they still make sense? Why does stXP exist, and what’s really going on with DeFi in TON? Konstantin Zherebtsov, CEO of bemo, answers these questions honestly and directly. We talk about the real behind-the-scenes of building in TON and where the ecosystem is actually heading. Watch on YouTube - https://youtu.be/rB7WsqpX1hs Watch on VK - https://vkvideo.ru/video-227532035_456239358 Team swap.coffee ☕️ ✉️ App 🌐 Guide 🤖 Discord 📹 YouTube 🐣 X

Прощай легенда! Халк Хоган ушел! В нашем детстве фильм "Гром в раю" был хитовым и смотрели мы его запоями!

It is finally happening, MACD is about to cross SIGNAL indicator from top to bottom. This is one of the strongest long-term bearish signal existing. It has happened only two times on -BTC.D before: - First it happened back in 2017 before the Dominance of -BTC crashed from 95% to 35% (-65%) within a year. - Later it happened in 2021 when BTC.D dumped from 75% to 38% (-47%) in a year. 👉 The same is about to happen now in 2025! Once the cross is confirmed, we may expect a dump from 60% to at least 40%, which will grant us a GREAT Altcoin Season that will last not a few weeks, but at least a couple of months!

bull тезис по purple frog в одной картинке ☕️

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖  🎛Task: How scammers trick people in crypto — and how to stay safe 1. What's a red flag in fake website URLs? ✔️ One letter swapped or a dash where there shouldn't be 2. What's the best defense against crypto scams? ✔️ Knowing these scams exist and taking time to verify 3. What do scammers rely on when targeting crypto users? ✔️ People panicking when something feels confusing 4. What happens if you send crypto to a scammer? ✔️ There's usually no undo button - your money is gone 5. How should you treat your private keys? ✔️ Like the keys to your house - never give them to strangers 6. What do giveaway scammers typically promise? ✔️ Send one Bitcoin and get two back 7. How long do real crypto opportunities usually last? ✔️ Real opportunities don't vanish in just minutes 8. What should you never share with anyone claiming to help? ✔️ Your username 9. How do fake support scammers usually contact you? ✔️ They slide into your DMs claiming your account is locked 10. What's the first rule for staying safe in crypto? ✔️ Slow down - no opportunity is too urgent to verify 11. Do real crypto companies message you first on social media? ✔️ No, they never message you first 12. Why do scammers create fake urgency? ✔️ They want you to panic and skip normal safety checks 🎛Task: What is DeFi? (Explained like a community fridge) 1. What tone does the video use to explain DeFi? ✔️ A friendly and simple conversation 2. What do you need to use DeFi? ✔️ A crypto wallet and internet access 3. Why does DeFi require responsible behavior from users? ✔️ Because it affects the whole community 4. What should you always do before using a DeFi platform? ✔️ Research and read reviews 5. What kind of risks exist in DeFi? ✔️ Scams, bad code, and no customer support 6. What’s the best way to get started with DeFi? ✔️ Take your time and start slow 7. What is DeFi not? ✔️ A guaranteed way to get rich quick 8. Who's in control of your money when using DeFi? ✔️ You 9. What does DeFi let people do? ✔️ Lend, borrow, trade, and earn interest 10. What's missing in DeFi compared to traditional finance? ✔️ Gatekeepers and paperwork 11. What real-world example is used to explain DeFi? ✔️ A community fridge 12. What makes the community fridge a good metaphor for DeFi? ✔️ It's open to everyone without permission ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 💬Chat ❕ 📹AllCode❕

Instead… start shilling your crypto bags to him. He’ll pretend you don’t exist and peacefully walk away.

2% на дроп WTF!? https://token.pump.fun/tokenomics 33% будет продано в ходе первичного размещения монет 24% reserved for community and ecosystem initiatives 20% to the team 2.4% to the ecosystem fund 2% for the foundation 13% to existing investors 3% for livestreaming 2.6% for liquidity + exchanges Список бирж: 🔘Bybit 🔘Kraken 🔘Bitget 🔘Mexc 🔘Kucoin 🔘Gate Фьючерсы уже анонсировали на Binance! Будете шортить? Всю инфу по участию и мысли скидываю в Мемуары ⚡️ProMint | Мемуары | 📰ProKyc | 💰ProClub

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Ты думаешь, что получил $USDC. А на самом деле — фантик. Token spoofing — одна из самых тонких и опасных атак в Web3. На вид: нормальный токен. Имя, символ, количество знаков, даже иконка — всё совпадает. Но это не тот токен. И если ты не заметишь разницу — ты сам себя обманешь. Как это работает? В блокчейне любой может создать токен. Ты можешь прямо сейчас задеплоить свой “USDT” или “LINK” — и никто не запретит. Представь ситуацию: злоумышленник создаёт фейковый токен с именем и тикером, как у популярного актива, и закидывает его в чей-то кошелёк или листит на сомнительном DEX. Пользователь видит знакомое название, принимает его за оригинал — и теряет деньги при попытке использовать. Почему это работает даже с опытными? ➜ Большинство интерфейсов (кошельков, дашбордов, даже DEX) показывают имя, а не адрес токена ➜ Некоторые кошельки автоматически добавляют "новые" токены в интерфейс ➜ Поддельные токены могут быть добавлены вручную в Metamask или даже "прилипнуть" через дроп ➜ Символ токена, decimals, и даже логотип — можно скопировать 1:1 Чаще всего такие схемы встречаются в свапах через неизвестные DEX-агрегаторы, при фейковых airdrop’ах, в NFT-маркетплейсах с псевдотокенами и в Telegram-ботах с поддельными названиями. Также злоумышленники маскируют контракты под «отправку токенов» с переходом на фишинговый сайт для якобы активации. Как защититься? ✔️ Проверяй адрес контракта токена — всегда ✔️ Не полагайся на название и логотип ✔️ Добавляй токены вручную в Metamask и не взаимодействуй с непрошеными ✔️ На DEX — проверяй liquidity pool: сколько там ликвидности, кто держит токены ✔️ Используй Rabby, Zerion, DeBank — интерфейсы с проверкой токенов Как быстро отличить клон? Зайди в контракт токена через Etherscan или аналог — проверь количество холдеров (5 адресов? точно фейк), историю транзакций (если нет DEX-активности — повод насторожиться) и наличие тега "Token with similar name exists" — ты не первый, кого пытались обмануть. ❗️Token spoofing — это не баг, а следствие открытости блокчейна. Любой может создать токен с любым названием. И если ты не проверяешь адрес — ты не в безопасности. Имя ≠ суть. В Web3 важно то, что стоит за ним — адрес. #Web3

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖  You can’t print more Bitcoin — and that changes everything 1. How is Bitcoin similar to gold? ✅ It is scarce and holds value 2. What kind of system is Bitcoin built on? ✅ Rules without rulers 3. What makes Bitcoin fundamentally different from traditional currencies like dollars or euros? ✅ It cannot be printed or created at will 4. What ensures Bitcoin's scarcity? ✅ Code that cannot be changed 5. What makes Bitcoin portable? ✅ It can be sent globally using just a phone and the internet 6. Who has the power to increase the supply of Bitcoin? ✅ No one 7. What does Bitcoin not have, compared to traditional monetary systems? ✅ Rulers or central control 8. Can anyone check how many Bitcoin exists at any time? ✅ Yes, it is publicly verifiable 9. What happens when more paper money is printed? ✅ The value of each unit drops 10. How many bitcoins will ever exist? ✅ 21 million 11. What bigger idea does Bitcoin represent, beyond money? ✅ Freedom and fairness 12. Why don't the rules of Bitcoin change overnight? ✅ They are locked in code and consensus ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 💬Chat ❕ 📹AllCode❕

I left my cell, the red phone, and a Fox clip at the bottom I sent two memos back in April, you must not've got 'em There prob’ly was a problem at the Fed Board or somethin’ Sometimes I scribble notes too fast when I jot 'em But anyway, screw it, what’s been up, Jay? Still stallin’? I’m back in office, man, I won... you saw the ballots Now you act like I don’t exist, like I’m not callin’ Inflation’s down, and jobs are good... what’s your excuse? You’re stuck on “data-dependent” like it’s some Fed abuse Man, I could name my next kid “RateCut” just to cope Or maybe “Disinflation,” Powell, don’t crush my hope I’ll even bring Larry back...you remember Kudlow? He cries at night ‘cause the 10-year won’t go low I know you prob’ly hear this every day, but I’m your biggest fan I gave you that chair, Jay...I’m the goddamn man I got a gold-framed dot plot hangin’ in my den Right next to Art of the Deal and a pic of me and Glenn Anyway, I hope you get this....hit me back Just to chat... Yours truly, the boss who gave you that post...President Trump, coast to coast.

🚀 The Pan-African Payment and Settlement System (PAPSS) has introduced the African Currency Marketplace, a significant initiative aimed at diminishing the dependence on the U.S. dollar for trade within Africa. This project, developed in partnership with Afreximbank, the African Union Commission, and the AfCFTA Secretariat, seeks to facilitate cross-border payments using local currencies, marking a pivotal step towards financial integration on the continent. 💬 PAPSS CEO Mike Ogbalu emphasized that the platform allows transactions to be conducted entirely in local currencies without the need for foreign currency conversion, stating, no hard currency is involved . The system operates in real-time, 24/7, ensuring quick transaction finalization. It is supported by a network of 16 central banks, over 150 commercial banks, and 14 national switches. 💼 This development is crucial for large African enterprises, particularly airlines and industrial groups, which have encountered difficulties in repatriating funds due to exchange restrictions and currency depreciation. Ogbalu pointed out that over $2 billion is currently trapped in African countries where airlines operate, highlighting the necessity for this solution. 🔗 The African Currency Marketplace aims to minimize payment obstacles, improve operational security, and strengthen the monetary sovereignty of African nations. To this end, PAPSS has collaborated with Interstellar, the first pan-African blockchain infrastructure provider. Interstellar employs the Bantu network, an African blockchain that supports a comprehensive Know Your Customer (KYC) system and manages up to 43 African currencies. 🌐 Since its establishment in the West African monetary zone, PAPSS has broadened its network to 16 countries and plans to extend its coverage across the continent. The launch of the African Currency Marketplace coincides with the rapid growth of e-commerce in Africa. ⚠️ However, this initiative may provoke reactions from U.S. President Donald Trump, who has previously threatened to penalize countries pursuing de-dollarization. Despite these threats, PAPSS is committed to enabling African traders to utilize their local currencies for cross-border transactions. Rather than competing with existing financial institutions, the African Currency Marketplace aims to collaborate with banks, fintechs, and regulators to establish a fully integrated African monetary market.