IS THE 4-YEAR CYCLE DEAD, OR IS IT ALL ABOUT LIQUIDITY?

The traditional 4-year crypto cycle tied to Bitcoin halvings looks like it is becoming irrelevant. Historically, the cycle included: 👉 Bear market 👉 Accumulation phase 👉 Bull market 👉 Euphoria phase This Cycle is Different - One year post-halving, no clear bull market has emerged. - Bitcoin has risen, but altcoins have lagged significantly. - The rise is driven by institutional money and ETFs, which don’t impact altcoins like retail flows did in the past. Liquidity is the real play - The key factor now is liquidity, not time-based cycles. - Global liquidity is surging, hitting all-time highs (ATHs). - $5.5 billion added this year alone; projected $12B total for the year (~10% increase). What am I expecting? - This liquidity needs to flow, and Bitcoin and crypto are top destinations. - Historically, Bitcoin price follows global liquidity (M2) with a 10–12 week lag - If liquidity continues rising, expect strong market impacts, regardless of outdated cycle models.

Институционалы. Молча. Планомерно. И строго по календарю глобальных событий. По данным CryptoRank, крупнейшие провайдеры BTC ETF показали две волны активного накопления, и каждая — не случайна: > Волна 1 — январь 2024 После одобрения спотовых ETF — сразу всплеск закупок. Совпадение? Нет. Это было ожидание халвинга, и фонды не стали ждать роста — они начали собирать актив заранее. > Волна 2 — осень 2024 Перед выборами в США фонды вновь активизировались. А после победы Трампа — темп только усилился. Это явно стратегическая ставка на макроэкономические перемены. Полное затишье. А это говорит об одном: институционалы не гонятся за шумом, они заходят только тогда, когда происходят события, меняющие правила игры. И, судя по текущим данным, они вновь накапливают. Что может спровоцировать следующую волну закупок BTC? 1️⃣ Смягчение политики ФРС и снижение ставок 2️⃣ Расширение ETF на Европу или Азию 3️⃣ Технологический апгрейд BTC Биткоин — это уже не просто золото. Это инструмент стратегического позиционирования в эпоху перемен. Когда крупные деньги начинают двигаться — это не ради хайпа. Это — потому что они знают, где будет центр притяжения капитала. English 🇺🇸 Who's accumulating Bitcoin while we're reading the headlines? Institutions. Silently. Systematically. And strictly according to the calendar of global events. According to CryptoRank, the largest BTC ETF providers have shown two waves of active accumulation, and each is not accidental.: > Wave 1 — January 2024 After the approval of spot ETFs, there is an immediate surge in purchases. A coincidence? No. It was an expectation of halving, and the funds did not wait for growth — they began to collect the asset in advance. > Wave 2 — Autumn 2024 Before the US elections, the funds became active again. And after Trump's victory, the pace only intensified. This is clearly a strategic bet on macroeconomic changes. A complete lull. And this says one thing: the institutions do not chase the noise, they come in only when there are events that change the rules of the game. And, judging by the current data, they are accumulating again. What could trigger the next wave of BTC purchases? 1 . Easing the Fed 's policy and lowering interest rates 2. Expansion of the ETF to Europe or Asia Technological upgrade of BTC Bitcoin is no longer just gold. It is a strategic positioning tool in an era of change. When big money starts moving, it's not for the sake of HYPE. This is because they know where the center of gravity of capital will be. ⭐️ Crypto Chat | Exchange | ADS

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💬 Теперь уже очевидно, что этот цикл отличается от предыдущих

Login to the project: /StartGame ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 1. What's the secret to sounding confident in crypto conversations? - Be vague but confident with phrases like "The next bull run is coming" 2. What's the key to looking like a crypto pro - Talking confidently about topics like scalability and NFTs 3. How do you sound like you know everything about institutional adoption? - Say "Once institutional adoption happens, we're going to see mass adoption and the price will explode" 4. What should you do if someone presses you for an answer you don't have? - Say "I'll have to check the whitepaper" 5. What's the first step to sounding smart in crypto? - Drop some buzzwords like "blockchain" 6. What's an easy way to look like you know about the market? - Drop some big numbers like market cap and token supply 7. What should you never say in a crypto conversation? - "I don't know" 8. What's a good go-to topic if you're struggling in a conversation? - DeFi 9. What is a good way to act like you know the difference between Bitcoin and Ethereum? - Say "Bitcoin is digital gold, but Ethereum is a platform with smart contracts" 10. What's a good phrase to say if you want to sound like you know the next big trend? - "The next halving is coming, you gotta get in before then" 11. What's the buzzword that makes you sound like a crypto expert - "Scalability" 12. What should you say if someone asks about something you don't know? - Pivot and say "That's a long-term play" 13. What's a risk of mining equipment? - It can overheat and break 14. What's a potential risk of staking? - Coins can be slashed if the network has issues 15. What makes mining potentially more profitable? - Cheap electricity and good hardware 16. What does crypto mining involve? - Solving math puzzles with a computer 17. What's a typical staking APR range mentioned for Ethereum? - 3–5% 18. What's a major downside of mining? - High electricity costs 19. Which cryptocurrency is known for staking rewards? - Ethereum 20. Where can you go for more crypto profit tips? - BECEXY 21. What should you say if someone asks about something you don't know? - Pivot and say "That's a long-term play" 22. How does staking earn you rewards? - By locking coins to support the network 23. Which blockchain is commonly associated with mining? - Bitcoin 24. Why is staking considered easier than mining? - It doesn't require complex hardware 25. What's a con of staking? - Your coins are temporarily unavailable. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 💬Chat ❕ 📹AllCode❕

Bitcoin halving progress 24%

💎 https://t.me/MetaMinerRobot/app?startapp=r_5516936376">https://t.me/MetaMinerRobot 💎 Сегодня сеть MetaMiner пережила крупное событие – халвинг! Награда за майнинг теперь урезана вдвое. Это означает, что производится меньше монет, что делает их более ценными с течением времени. 📉 Почему цена осталась прежней? ✅ Рынку нужно время для адаптации. ✅ Крупные игроки постепенно накапливаются на текущих уровнях. ✅ Сокращение предложения не имеет мгновенного эффекта — оно стимулирует долгосрочный рост. 💎 Что будет дальше? 🔹 Количество новых монет, поступающих в обращение, теперь на 50% меньше. 🔹 Спрос растет, предложение сокращается — идеальная ситуация для роста цен. 🔹 Мы продолжаем расширять экосистему и привлекать новых участников. 🔥 Самые умные всегда видят возможности раньше толпы. Халвинг — это начало нового цикла. Вы знаете, что делать. 😎 Контракт токена: EQCqjLt3FaR-U6D8NphOBI0DKLkY7R3rkq2Ewd3xD6TDZj4t 🚀 Таблица токенов: https://www.geckoterminal.com/ton/pools/EQDsMOgd6U_o16Y0JX612wQXxkVohWKCHk6gocUyilEYQHb0">https://www.geckoterminal.com 🐸 Вы можете торговать на STON.FI #MetaMiner #Halving #MM #Cryptocurrency #Tokenomics #PriceGrowth ⚠️ Дисклеймер Лёха в Short’ах Long’ует 🕯

Friends, many traders and investors experience strong emotions when looking at their portfolio numbers. Some feel nostalgic for the times when the balance was higher, others feel like a millionaire after seeing 7 digits on the screen. 🔤 But it is important to understand the key principle of financial markets: your portfolio is not money until you have fixed and withdrawn it. If your deposit looks impressive today, it's no guarantee that the numbers won't halve or even more tomorrow. Similarly, if the balance is down, it doesn't mean you're poorer than yesterday until you record a loss. The main trap is the feeling that if the portfolio has reached a certain point, then it's “your” money. But it isn't ⬇️ 1️⃣ The unrealized PnL (profit/loss) is not your real capital — it's a volatile figure that can change in a matter of minutes. 2️⃣ The market doesn't move linearly — many people think that if they've made 10x, they can do it all over again. But the market doesn't obey your expectations. 3️⃣ Wealth is not a number on a screen but liquid assets — real money is what is already withdrawn and is under yours in a bank account. 📥 Typical mistakes that cause you to lose money • Ignoring market changes — traders think that once a strategy has worked, it will always work. • Aggressively increasing positions — when growth seems endless, risk starts to seem insignificant. • Ego and complacency — success is written off only on one's own abilities, not the market. Money is lost at every stage: it is difficult to catch the top point for profit taking, not every pullback leads to growth, and excessive trading activity often brings losses. ❕ The main thing is not to be greedy and regularly withdraw part of the profit into stable assets. If there is no profit on a spot - wait and everything will come... Do you have enough patience when working in crypto? 🔥 — Yes, everything is good 🐳 — It can be emotionally difficult CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

Задаюсь вопросами, а кто вообще сказал, что рынок раздаёт деньги моментально? Это инвестиции, а не лотерея. На фондовом рынке люди ждут 10 лет, чтобы удвоить или утроить капитал. А в крипте, если за месяц не сделали x10, всё — "не бычка, рынок мёртв". Да, ситуация нестандартная. Геополитика, экономическая нестабильность, медвежьи сигналы — вместо безумного роста видим сброс за сбросом. Топовые альты, которые все так ждали, просели на 30–50%. Толпа капитулирует, новички в панике выходят из позиций с убытком, потому что устали ждать. Но знаете, что объединяет все большие циклы? Рынок растёт, когда слабые руки вытряхиваются. Вспомним прошлый цикл: ✔️ Халвинг прошёл весной ✔️ Летом рынок уснул ✔️ Осенью увидели рост ✔️ Зима — фаза накопления ✔️ Дальше? Догадайтесь сами Большие деньги из воздуха не появляются. Кто не выдержит, тот сольётся. Кто останется — тот заберёт профит. Так что тут только два варианта: либо ты терпеливо ждёшь, либо выходишь на эмоциях и потом наблюдаешь, как рынок улетает без тебя. Удачи и терпения💪 English 🇺🇸 GM! Where are the expected x20-x50? Or is it not a bull? 🤔 I wonder who said that the market distributes money instantly? This is an investment, not a lottery. In the stock market, people wait 10 years to double or triple their capital. And in the crypt, if you haven't made x10 in a month, everything is "not a bull, the market is dead." Yes, the situation is unusual. Geopolitics, economic instability, bearish signals — instead of insane growth, we see reset after reset. The top altos, which everyone had been waiting for, sank by 30-50%. The crowd capitulates, and the newcomers panic and exit their positions at a loss because they are tired of waiting. But do you know what unites all the big cycles? The market grows when weak hands are shaken out. Let's recall the last cycle: ✔️ Halving took place in the spring ✔️ The market went to sleep in the summer ✔️ Saw growth in the fall ✔️ Winter is the accumulation phase ✔️ Next? Guess for yourself Big money doesn't come out of thin air. Whoever can't stand it will merge. Whoever stays will take the profit. So there are only two options: either you're a turp ⭐️ Crypto Chat | Exchange | ADS

1544. Bitcoin Halving 2024 To 2028 | Part 5: check 1545. Bitcoin Halving 2024 To 2028 | Part 6: check 1546. Onchain Explained | Part 1: check 1547. 10 Garage Business: obkt 1548. Unlock Crypto: tedr 1549. 10 Profitable 3D Printing: c7po 1550. Make REAL Money: k2g2 1551. Paying Taxes: 5dcd 1552. Make $8.200/Month: 6dum 1553. Freelance Video Editors: irto 1554. Earn $10,000/Month: 7pi5 1555. What If DeFi in Crypto: 7pi6 💯 Все коды с вопросами 🤑 T.ME/TAPSWAP 🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️ ✅ Все Проекты 🐶 Чат 21+

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Bitcoin's mining difficulty has reached a record high, signaling a key moment in the cryptocurrency world. ▎What Is Mining Difficulty? Mining difficulty indicates how hard it is for miners to validate transactions and add them to the blockchain. It adjusts every 2016 blocks to keep block creation around 10 minutes. ▎Reasons for Increased Difficulty Key factors include: 1. More Miners: Rising Bitcoin prices attract competition. 2. Tech Advances: Better hardware increases hashing power. 3. Halving Effects: Reduced rewards push for greater efficiency. ▎Impact on Miners Higher difficulty brings challenges and changes: - Higher Costs: More resources needed, affecting profitability. - Market Changes: Smaller miners may exit, leading to consolidation. - Environmental Issues: Energy use raises sustainability concerns. ▎Conclusion The rise in Bitcoin difficulty highlights the competitive landscape of the cryptocurrency market, pushing miners to adapt and evolve.

Факт: Bitcoin Halving progress 18% 💬 Наглядно видно, что если тренд сохранится, то туземун неизбежен! Жми 🔥 если ты уже давно готов к туземуну

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Friends, 2025, as has become a tradition, has started off with a strong rise, with BTC making its way back to the $100k mark. 📊 There's more movement ahead, especially with Trump's inauguration coming up (January 20), which promises to be a catalyst for new discussions around the crypto. The key moment is Trump's speech after accepting office. The key question now is whether he will mention crypto again as «vividly» as he did in his campaign program. This could set the tone for the coming months, if not years. At the same time, there is growing confidence among major market players that Trump's arrival will usher in a new era for the market. 🔎 This opinion is shared by those who look at the situation from a global perspective, rather than limiting themselves to the framework of «so long or short with 50 leverage?». However, we should be prepared for volatility at the inauguration. We may see the classic pattern «buy the rumor, sell the fact». But this is more of a local dynamic. Globally, we also have a number of other factors superimposed on the inauguration, including seasonal patterns and cycles. — For example, take a look at the halving charts (see screenshot): since 2014, there has been a clear seasonal pattern that is triggered after the New Year. This only adds to the confidence in the long-term outlook. ❕ Everyone has already made their bets, and now we have to wait for the market's revelations. Our team is already back to work and we are ready to make maximum profit from this market 🔥 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

Login to the project: /StartGame ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ ➡️Task: "Al and Crypto: Can Artificial Intelligence Predict the Market?" 1. What does AI in crypto compare to? ✅A digital crystal ball 2. What does AI analyze to predict crypto market trends? ✅Social media posts, trading volumes, and price trends 3. What’s the role of historical data in AI predictions? ✅It helps AI spot trends but doesn’t guarantee future outcomes 4. Why isn’t AI perfect for crypto predictions? ✅It relies on historical data and probabilities 5. What can algorithmic trading bots NOT do? ✅Feel emotions or provide reassurance during market dips 6. What does the script warn about trusting AI blindly? ✅AI isn’t a crystal ball and can make mistakes 7. How fast can trading bots execute trades? ✅In milliseconds 8. Can AI predict sudden market crashes caused by tweets? ✅No, AI can’t predict unpredictable events 9. What is algorithmic trading? ✅Bots executing trades based on AI predictions 10. What’s one risk mentioned about everyone using AI in crypto trading? ✅Markets could become oversaturated with similar strategies 11. What is the main takeaway from the video? ✅Al is a powerful tool but doesn't replace research and caution 12. What does sentiment analysis help Al determine? ✔️Whether traders are feeling bullish or bearish ➡️Task: "Bitcoin Halving: What You Need to Know in 2 Minutes" 1. What’s the total cap on Bitcoin’s supply? ✅21 million 2. How do miners earn Bitcoin? ✅By verifying transactions 3. How often does the halving occur? ✅Every four years 4. What kind of event is the halving historically? ✅Exciting and speculative 5. What’s a potential downside of the halving? ✅Miners earning less 6. What is Bitcoin halving? ✅An event that cuts miner rewards in half 7. What is the current Bitcoin block reward? ✅6.25 BTC 8. What economic principle is linked to the halving? ✅Supply and demand 9. What’s the cap on new Bitcoin entering circulation? ✅It’s limited by halvings 10. What happens if too many miners quit? ✅The network adjusts its difficulty 11. What will the next block reward be after the halving? ✅3.125 BTC 12. Why does the halving happen? ✅To control Bitcoin’s suppl ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 💬Chat ❕ 📹AllCode❕