💰 Million for BTC — Myth or Mathematical Logic?
Rumors about Bitcoin reaching $500K or even $1M are circulating in the crypto world. Let’s break down whether such price levels are possible from the perspective of numbers, the money market, and capital allocation logic.
🔤 To estimate Bitcoin’s potential price, it’s important to understand how much of the global capital it could realistically capture.
According to the data for 2025, the volumes look like this:
• Global M2 (broad money supply): $127.3T
• Corporate treasuries: $39.9T
• Central bank reserves: $15.5T
• Gold: $23.9T
Total: ~$206.7T of potential «monetary market».
💸 What Happens if BTC Captures Even a Small Share?
Suppose investors, corporations, and countries start allocating a portion of their assets to BTC. Not all of it — just 1–10%. With the current supply (~19.7M BTC), the math is simple:
• 1% market capture = ~$104,573 per BTC
• 5% = ~$522,865
• 10% = ~$1,045,730
This isn’t just Reddit fantasy — it aligns with CoinShares’ modeling using the Verhulst S-curve, a standard approach for tech adoption (internet, smartphones, social networks).
This is a gradual capital shift over 10–15 years, similar to how the internet, mobile communication, and social networks grew — through ETFs, pension funds, corporate balance sheets, and retail investors in countries with weakening currencies.
❕ Mathematically, Bitcoin can reach $500K or even $1M if it captures 5–10% of the global monetary market 🔥
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